DiscoverBG2Pod with Brad Gerstner and Bill GurleyChina, China, China. Breaking Down China’s Tech Surge | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner
China, China, China. Breaking Down China’s Tech Surge | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

China, China, China. Breaking Down China’s Tech Surge | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

Update: 2025-08-281
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Open Source bi-weekly convo w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner on all things tech, markets, investing & capitalism. This week, they dive deep into China’s explosive innovation across AI and EVs, the rise of open-source models, lessons for U.S. competitiveness, the real story on tariffs and trade—and what America must do to win the global tech race. Enjoy another episode of BG2!


Timestamps:

(00:00 ) Intro

(01:20 ) OpenAI, Anthropic, Private Market Overheating

(03:30 ) China's Role in the Global Tech Order

(04:50 ) Why Bill Went to China

(06:40 ) Dan Wang's Breakneck: Engineers vs Lawyers

(10:30 ) Xiaomi, BYD, and Auto Innovation

(14:00 ) Factory Productivity, Automation, and the Jobs Debate

(15:20 ) Open Source Model Culture in China

(19:30 ) Can the US Compete Without Reform?

(23:30 ) Tariffs, Trade Deals, and a Path to Cooperation

(28:00 ) Waymo, Baidu, and Cost Innovation

(33:00 ) Is China Winning Global Trade?

(36:30 ) Debunking the Subsidy Narrative

(38:30 ) What the CEOs Who Visit China Actually Say

(41:30 ) China's AI Ecosystem: DeepSeek, Qwen, Alibaba Cloud

(44:00 ) Open Source in China and the US: Strategic Choices

(48:00 ) VC Pullback from China & What's Still Happening on the Ground

(53:00 ) China's New K-Visa vs US Skilled Immigration Policies

(56:30 ) Gurley: Read Dan Wang’s Breakneck, Watch the Ground Game

(01:03:00 ) VC Pullback from China


Show Notes:

Open Source Development in China https://merics.org/sites/default/files/2021-05/MERICS%20Primer%20Open%20Source%202021_0.pdf

Lei Jun 2024 Annual Speech: https://www.youtube.com/live/l5f3wvLwLXY


Produced by Dan Shevchuk

Music by Yung Spielberg


Available on Apple, Spotify, www.bg2pod.com

Follow:

Brad Gerstner @altcap https://x.com/altcap

Bill Gurley @bgurley https://x.com/bgurley


BG2 Pod @bg2pod https://x.com/BG2Pod

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China, China, China. Breaking Down China’s Tech Surge | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

China, China, China. Breaking Down China’s Tech Surge | BG2 w/ Bill Gurley and Brad Gerstner

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